Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.667833 0.766822 0.874714 1.000946 1.144493 1.302560 1.489725
2024-12-22 0.502519 0.631563 0.784510 0.978774 1.218563 1.504463 1.870824
2024-12-29 0.400195 0.546601 0.733982 0.990471 1.331431 1.768030 2.368364
2025-01-05 0.313894 0.463582 0.669439 0.971516 1.401536 1.989434 2.851507
2025-01-12 0.257434 0.408852 0.631410 0.979599 1.507303 2.273006 3.463089
2025-01-19 0.205985 0.350478 0.576630 0.952391 1.556209 2.482178 4.000939
2025-01-26 0.178940 0.324319 0.565299 0.988222 1.704761 2.859655 4.847482
2025-02-02 0.159357 0.306370 0.563418 1.037991 1.882217 3.306448 5.868290
2025-02-09 0.137354 0.279510 0.541136 1.048151 1.992948 3.657310 6.778322
2025-02-16 0.117962 0.253467 0.515349 1.046785 2.081559 3.980261 7.682641
2025-02-23 0.102383 0.231701 0.493512 1.048488 2.174784 4.322066 8.665245
2025-03-02 0.088753 0.211152 0.470270 1.042963 2.252051 4.642583 9.648411
2025-03-09 0.079260 0.198033 0.460682 1.065263 2.391516 5.107523 10.988185
2025-03-16 0.068848 0.180646 0.438847 1.057670 2.467589 5.456749 12.145020
2025-03-23 0.062052 0.170520 0.431493 1.081119 2.614629 5.972590 13.719199
2025-03-30 0.053993 0.155463 0.409860 1.067652 2.676451 6.314557 14.966286
2025-04-06 0.048525 0.146034 0.400191 1.081312 2.803489 6.817079 16.636163
2025-04-13 0.041902 0.131927 0.376059 1.054536 2.828761 7.091302 17.821409
2025-04-20 0.039064 0.128081 0.378188 1.096191 3.030856 7.805923 20.133798
2025-04-27 0.037030 0.126206 0.385366 1.152651 3.279613 8.664842 22.903305
2025-05-04 0.033623 0.119281 0.377061 1.164895 3.413442 9.257230 25.089446
2025-05-11 0.030205 0.111529 0.364903 1.164058 3.511647 9.772121 27.145234
2025-05-18 0.027284 0.104757 0.354429 1.166391 3.619187 10.325213 29.370636